🗳️ Elections

Will Trump’s election order lead to large-scale ballot blocking?

Live

Resolves Nov 11, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

23%

77%

No (77%)Yes (23%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 23%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election pursuant to Executive Order 14399 or a materially equivalent amendment, replacement, or successor measure after Issuance and before Nov 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.