🗳️ Elections
Will Trump order more tariffs in Oct 2026?
Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
35%
No
65%
No (65%)Yes (35%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$132
Liquidity
$2k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 35%. Kalshi has moved down 48pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action imposing new or increased tariffs on any country, provided the action specifies an effective date (even if such date occurs after expiration) in Oct 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$132
Liquidity$2k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen