🗳️ Elections
Will Ireland announce a reunification referendum?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2030KalshiVolume-weighted avg
27%
No
73%
No (73%)Yes (27%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$1k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 27%. Kalshi has moved up 6pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If the Republic of Ireland agrees to or announces a formal government decision to hold a national referendum in the Republic of Ireland on Irish reunification before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2030
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$1k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen