🗳️ Elections

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$55
Liquidity
$26k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 12%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese General Zhang Youxia is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Zhang Youxia is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chinese government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$55
Liquidity$26k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen