🗳️ Elections

Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$866

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 14%. Kalshi has moved down 14pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms?
Elections
3%
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?
Elections
1%
Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027?
Elections
8%
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
Elections
4%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
14%
probability of YES
Kalshi
14%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$866
CategoryElections
StatusOpen