Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 3%. Polymarket has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Colombian land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Colombia or the United States, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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