🗳️ Elections

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$2k
Liquidity
$65k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 4%. Kalshi has moved down 13pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of diesel that has gone into effect after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Will the next elected US president be a woman?
Elections
20%
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?
Elections
14%
Will Mamdani run for re-election?
Elections
77%
Will the EU's ETIAS accept applications before 2028?
Elections
82%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Kalshi
4%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$2k
Liquidity$65k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen