🗳️ Elections

Will Ohio's special Senate winner be sworn in on Dec 15?

Live
Resolves Dec 16, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
72%
No
28%
No (28%)Yes (72%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$52
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 72%. Kalshi has moved up 30pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the winner of the 2026 Ohio U.S. Senate special election is sworn in as a U.S. senator on December 15, 2026 after Issuance and before Dec 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
72%
probability of YES
Kalshi
72%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 16, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$52
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen