🗳️ Elections

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?

Live
Resolves Mar 1, 2028Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
26%
No
74%
No (74%)Yes (26%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$512

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 26%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Joe Manchin has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 before Mar 1, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
26%
probability of YES
Kalshi
26%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Mar 1, 2028
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$512
CategoryElections
StatusOpen