🗳️ Elections
Will Elon register any party before 2027?
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027PolymarketVolume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$19
Liquidity
$12k
Market intelligence
Polymarket currently prices this at 4%. Polymarket has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$19
Liquidity$12k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen