🗳️ Elections

Will California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
61%
No
39%
No (39%)Yes (61%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$48
Liquidity
$6k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 61%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the California High-Speed Rail Authority announces that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
61%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$48
Liquidity$6k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen