🎯 Other

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$28
Liquidity
$593

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 9%. Polymarket has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI. An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$28
Liquidity$593
CategoryOther
StatusOpen