🗳️ Elections

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$4k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 14%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
14%
probability of YES
Kalshi
14%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$4k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen