🎯 Other

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

Live
Resolves Jan 2, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$12k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 12%. Polymarket has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 2, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$12k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen