🎯 Other

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

Live

Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

85%

15%

No (15%)Yes (85%)

Check on Polymarket →

Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 85%. Polymarket has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.