🎯 Other

NATO article 5 before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
6%
No
94%
No (94%)Yes (6%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$166
Liquidity
$23k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 6%.

About this market

If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
6%
probability of YES
Polymarket
6%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$166
Liquidity$23k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen