🎯 Other

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
4%
No
96%
No (96%)Yes (4%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$29k

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 4%. Polymarket has moved down 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Lebanon officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Lebanon, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
4%
probability of YES
Polymarket
4%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$29k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen