📊 Macro

EU debt downgrade before 2027?

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
24%
No
76%
No (76%)Yes (24%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Macro
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$133

Market intelligence

Polymarket currently prices this at 24%.

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the European Union's long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
24%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$133
CategoryMacro
StatusOpen